Abacus FCF Advisors Cuts Spotify Stake 11.5% as Analysts Eye 32.1% Upside

SPOTSPOT

Abacus FCF Advisors LLC cut its Spotify stake by 11.5%, selling 3,468 shares to hold 26,735 shares valued at $18.66 million, ranking it as the firm’s 10th largest position. Analysts’ consensus price target for Spotify stands at $760.23, implying 32.1% upside after a $3.83 EPS beat and 7.1% revenue growth.

1. Analyst Consensus Points to 32.1% Upside

Wall Street analysts have set a consensus price target that implies a potential gain of 32.12% for Spotify. While academic studies question the predictive power of consensus targets, the upward trend in earnings estimate revisions—five upward revisions versus two downward over the past quarter—could signal near-term positive momentum for the shares.

2. Institutional Holdings See Notable Shifts

During the third quarter, Abacus FCF Advisors reduced its Spotify position by 11.5%, selling 3,468 shares and leaving it with 26,735 shares, representing 2.5% of its portfolio. In contrast, Simplify Asset Management initiated a new position valued at $574,000. Albion Financial Group increased its stake by 80%, and Annex Advisory Services added 4,202 shares, bringing its total to 58,186. Overall, institutional investors and hedge funds now own 84.09% of the company’s stock, underlining strong professional interest despite some portfolio rebalancing.

3. Divergent Analyst Ratings and Targets

Analysts remain split: Citigroup uplifted its target, maintaining a neutral stance; Cantor Fitzgerald also raised its objective while sticking with a neutral rating; Wall Street Zen upgraded to a buy rating; Pivotal Research trimmed its target but kept a buy view. Out of 34 tracked analysts, two carry strong buy ratings, 23 maintain buys, and nine hold. The aggregate consensus rating is Moderate Buy, reflecting cautious optimism in equity research departments.

4. Q3 Earnings Beat Drives Investor Confidence

In its latest quarter, Spotify delivered earnings per share of $3.83, beating consensus by $1.96, and generated revenue of $5.01 billion, surpassing estimates by $0.78 billion. Year-over-year revenue rose 7.1% and net margin stood at 8.46%, while return on equity reached 21.68%. Analysts now forecast full-year EPS of 10.3, reflecting upward revisions in light of robust subscriber growth and improving cost controls.

Sources

DZ