Goldman Sachs Q4 EPS Surges 26.6% to $51.32, Price Target Raised to $1,100, Dividend Up 12.5%

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Goldman Sachs posted Q4 EPS up 26.6% to $51.32 and delivered a 17.1% return on tangible equity following its Apple Card portfolio divestiture. Bank of America lifted GS’s price target to $1,100, forecasting 15% investment banking growth and 3% markets growth in 2026, and hiked dividend 12.5% and executed buybacks.

1. Strong Fourth‐Quarter Performance and Capital Returns

Goldman Sachs reported fourth‐quarter EPS growth of 26.6% year-over-year, delivering $51.32 per share, comfortably surpassing consensus estimates. The firm’s return on tangible equity reached 17.1%, driven by robust dealmaking across M&A and equity underwriting. Reflecting confidence in its capital position, Goldman increased its quarterly dividend by 12.5% and authorized a share buyback program representing approximately 5% of its market capitalization, marking the third consecutive double-digit raise and underscoring disciplined capital allocation.

2. Bullish Investment Banking Outlook for 2026

Analysts at a leading broker raised their price target on Goldman, projecting 15% revenue growth in investment banking next year and an additional 3% expansion in markets revenues. The upgrade cites accelerating M&A and IPO pipelines, a favorable regulatory backdrop with easing capital requirements, and an expectation of modest declines in global interest rates. Goldman has exceeded EPS consensus by roughly 15% in each of the past four quarters, bolstering confidence in its ability to capitalize on sustained corporate financing activity.

3. Strategic Move into Prediction Markets

CEO David Solomon confirmed that Goldman Sachs is actively evaluating prediction‐market platforms regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The firm has convened meetings with several leading operators and established an internal task force to assess institutional use cases for liquidity provision and tailored hedging solutions. While management views prediction markets as a potential growth avenue, they caution that regulatory developments may progress more slowly than anticipated, delaying any large-scale launch.

Sources

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