Lemonade Shares Slide 6.5% on 91% Volume Drop Despite 42% Q3 Revenue Surge
Lemonade shares plunged 6.5% on Friday as trading volume collapsed 91% to 227,836 shares versus a 2.43M average. Analysts’ price targets now range from $55 (Piper Sandler) to $80 (JMP), maintaining a Hold consensus at $63.14 average, while Q3 revenue jumped 42.4% YoY to $194.5M and EPS loss narrowed to $0.51.
1. Share Performance and Trading Volume
Lemonade shares declined by 6.5% on Friday, marking the largest one-day drop since early October. Trading volume was 227,836 shares during mid-day, a 91% decrease from the three-month average of 2.43 million shares. The fifty-day moving average stands at 71.25, while the two-hundred-day average is 56.30. The stock’s beta of 2.13 underscores its volatility relative to the broader market.
2. Analyst Rating Updates
Eight analysts cover Lemonade, with one Strong Buy, two Buy, two Hold and three Sell ratings. The consensus rating is Hold, and the average price target across the group is 63.14. Recent changes include Citigroup maintaining an Outperform view, Piper Sandler lowering its target from 60.00 to 55.00 and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods raising its target from 35.00 to 40.00 while reaffirming an Underperform stance.
3. Recent Financial Results
In the third quarter, Lemonade reported a loss per share of 0.51, beating consensus estimates by 0.21, on revenue of 194.5 million, which surpassed forecasts by 9.4 million and represented year-over-year growth of 42.4%. The quarter yielded a negative return on equity of 31.86% and a net margin of negative 26.39%. Analysts expect full-year EPS of negative 3.03.
4. Insider and Institutional Activity
Insiders have sold 160,725 shares in the past 90 days, representing 14.70% of total shares outstanding. Notable transactions include the sale of 18,930 shares by a director and 41,557 shares by the COO, reducing their stakes by 18.49% and 16.91% respectively. Institutional ownership remains high at 80.30%, with Vanguard increasing its holding by 0.9% in Q3, JPMorgan raising its stake by 30.8%, and BIT Capital growing its position by 69.3%.