Merck Ends $30 Billion Revolution Medicines Talks, Cullen Frost Bankers Cuts Stake by 7%

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Merck ceased acquisition talks with Revolution Medicines after valuation disagreements over a roughly $30 billion deal, underscoring continued M&A discipline in its oncology strategy. Cullen Frost Bankers trimmed its Merck stake by 7%, selling 17,082 shares and reducing holdings to 225,581 shares valued at $18.93 million.

1. Merck Ends Acquisition Talks Over Valuation Dispute

Merck & Co., Inc. recently terminated discussions to acquire Revolution Medicines after talks stalled over a roughly $30 billion valuation. According to those familiar with the matter, Merck’s decision underscores its continued discipline on deal size despite strong interest in bolstering its oncology portfolio through RAS-pathway assets. Investors interpreted the news as a sign that Merck remains cautious about overpaying for high-growth targets, leading to a modest share price pullback.

2. Institutional Investors Adjust Stakes

In the latest regulatory filings, Cullen Frost Bankers reduced its Merck holding by 7.0%, selling 17,082 shares and bringing its position to 225,581 shares, valued at approximately $18.9 million. Meanwhile, Charles Schwab Investment Management increased its stake by 9.4%, acquiring over 4.6 million shares during the quarter, and Norges Bank and DLD Asset Management each initiated positions valued at roughly $2.86 billion and $2.89 billion, respectively. Overall, institutional ownership remains robust at just over 76%.

3. Balance Sheet Strength and Dividend Increase

Merck enters the period with a solid liquidity profile: a current ratio of 1.66, a quick ratio of 1.44 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77. The company announced a quarterly dividend of $0.85 per share, up from $0.81, representing a 3.1% yield on an annualized basis and a payout ratio near 45%. These metrics reflect Merck’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders while maintaining investment capacity for R&D and strategic opportunities.

4. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets Reflect Cautious Optimism

A consensus of 17 analysts currently rates Merck at a Hold, with eight Buy ratings, seven Holds and two Sells. Average price targets stand at $114.20, ranging from $82.00 to $135.00. Notably, BMO Capital Markets and Wolfe Research upgraded their outlooks to Outperform earlier this quarter, citing stable cash flows from established products and continued pipeline momentum, particularly in oncology and vaccines.

Sources

WDBR