Micron’s HBM Production Sold Out; Q4 Revenue Rises 56.7% with EPS Beat
Micron's 2026 high-bandwidth memory production sold out before the year started, leading the company to discontinue its Crucial brand and focus on AI-grade HBM chips. Micron reported Q4 revenue of $13.64 billion, up 56.7% year-over-year, and EPS of $4.78, beating consensus by $1.01 and guiding Q2 EPS to $8.22–$8.62.
1. Strategic Pivot Drives Production Sell-Out
Micron announced that its high-bandwidth memory (HBM) production for 2026 sold out before the year began, underscoring surging demand from artificial-intelligence customers. To capitalize on this momentum, the company is discontinuing its Crucial consumer brand and reallocating those manufacturing resources exclusively to AI-grade HBM chips. Management projects that dedicating an additional 15% of wafer capacity to HBM will boost segment revenues by more than $3 billion over the next two years and improve overall gross margins by approximately 250 basis points.
2. Fourth-Quarter Results Exceed Forecasts
In its most recent quarter, Micron delivered revenue of $13.64 billion, up 56.7% year-over-year and approximately $1.02 billion above consensus. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $4.78, topping Wall Street estimates by $1.01. The company reported a net margin of 28.15% and a return on equity of 22.71%. For the second quarter of fiscal 2026, management set EPS guidance in a range implying high-single-digit growth sequentially, reflecting strong mix shift toward higher-value products and continued cost discipline.
3. Profit-Taking Triggers Short-Term Pullback
After more than doubling from its November trough, Micron shares dipped over 3.5% in a single session as investors booked gains. Unusual options activity—specifically a surge in near-term call unwinds—suggests hedging by short-term traders. Concerns have also surfaced about elevated capital-expenditure commitments, with the company planning to invest roughly $20 billion in new fabs through 2028. While long-term demand drivers remain intact, the scale of near-term spending has prompted some to lock in profits.
4. Bullish Analyst Outlook and Insider Activity
Wall Street sentiment remains strongly positive: five firms maintain “strong-buy” ratings, thirty carry “buy” ratings, and consensus revenue targets have climbed by over 15% since January. Average price objectives imply upside well into year-end. Meanwhile, corporate insiders have reduced holdings by about 8.3% in total, selling approximately 61,000 shares over the past three months, even as they participate in share-repurchase programs. Institutional ownership stands at just over 80%, signaling broad confidence among large investors.