Micron Shares Fall 18% After 196% Q2 Revenue Surge and AI Demand Threats

MUMU

Micron reported fiscal Q2 revenue surged 196% to $23.9B with EPS up 682% to $12.20. However, shares slid up to 18% after Nvidia’s switch to 2-die HBM design and Google’s TurboQuant algorithm threatened to cut AI memory needs by 83%, stoking capex concerns.

1. Strong Q2 results

Micron’s fiscal Q2 performance demonstrated explosive growth, with revenue rising 196% year-over-year to $23.9 billion and non-GAAP EPS climbing 682% to $12.20. Demand for high-bandwidth memory remained tight, driving utilization and underpinning record margins.

2. Nvidia's 2-die HBM design impact

Nvidia’s decision to transition from a four-die to a two-die high-bandwidth memory architecture simplifies packaging and accelerates production. This design shift prompted a selloff in memory stocks, including Micron, as investors reassess short-term chip consumption forecasts.

3. Google's TurboQuant compression threat

Google unveiled TurboQuant, a memory compression algorithm claiming up to sixfold data reduction with zero accuracy loss. The technology could theoretically slash AI memory chip requirements by about 83%, raising concerns over future HBM and NAND demand.

4. Capital spending and market reaction

Micron’s aggressive capital expenditure plan exceeding $25 billion has fueled doubts about return on investment as supply ramps. The convergence of AI design tweaks and compression advances drove the stock down nearly 18%, reflecting sentiment-driven volatility despite robust fundamentals.

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