Mondelez Q4 EPS Tops by 3 Cents on $10.33B Sales; Guidance Disappoints
Mondelez reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $0.72, topping consensus of $0.70 and revenue of $10.33B vs. $10.29B estimates, as pricing and cost discipline offset 10% cocoa inflation. However, Q4 net profit fell to $665M from $1.75B a year earlier and full-year revenue and profit guidance came in below analyst forecasts.
1. Q4 Earnings and Revenue Outperform Estimates
Mondelez International reported fourth-quarter earnings of $0.72 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.70. Revenue for the period rose 7.2% year-over-year on a reported basis, driven by volume growth in emerging markets and strategic pricing actions in North America and Europe. Constant-currency revenue increased 5.8%, reflecting broad strength across the company’s snacking portfolio, including single-serve biscuits and seasonal confections.
2. Cocoa Inflation Pressures and Cost Discipline
Persistent inflation in cocoa commodity markets added approximately $240 million to input costs in Q4, representing a 12% increase versus the prior year quarter. Mondelez offset these headwinds through targeted price increases on premium chocolate brands and a global cost-savings program that realized $180 million in structural efficiencies. The company now expects full-year cocoa costs to exceed $800 million, but remains on track to deliver $600 million in net productivity gains for the fiscal year.
3. Profitability Impact and Segment Highlights
Reported operating profit declined to $665 million from $1.75 billion a year earlier, primarily due to a $920 million non-cash impairment charge in the adjacent chocolate business. Excluding this one-time item, adjusted operating income rose 3.5%. The biscuit segment delivered double-digit operating margin expansion, fueled by innovation in the U.S. snack crackers portfolio and market share gains in Latin America, while the gum and candy business grew revenue by 4%, aided by improved merchandising in travel retail channels.
4. Full-Year Outlook and Investor Considerations
For fiscal 2026, Mondelez forecasts revenue growth of 4% to 5% on a constant-currency basis, with adjusted EPS in the range of $3.00 to $3.06. This guidance factors in continued cocoa cost inflation of 6% to 8% year-over-year, partially offset by pricing and productivity initiatives. Management emphasized a return on invested capital target of 12% and confirmed plans to deploy $1.5 billion in share repurchases and dividends over the next twelve months, reinforcing its commitment to shareholder returns.