MP Materials’ NdPr Output Surges 51% to 721 Tons, Secures $110/kg DoD PPA and $500M Apple Deal

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MP Materials’ NdPr oxide output climbed 51% year-over-year to 721 metric tons in Q3, helping drive record total rare-earth oxide production of 13,254 metric tons. The company secured a 10-year DoD price-floor agreement at $110/kg for NdPr and a $500 million Apple contract for recycled magnetics.

1. D.A. Davidson & Co. Cuts MP Materials Stake

D.A. Davidson & Co. trimmed its position in MP Materials by 45.4% during the third quarter, reducing its holdings by 16,908 shares to 20,372 shares. At quarter end, the firm’s remaining stake was valued at $1.37 million, down from approximately $2.5 million prior to the sale. This significant divestment represents one of the largest single-firm reductions among institutional holders and signals a reevaluation of exposure to rare-earth mining at current market conditions.

2. Institutional Investors Adjust Portfolios

Several other major institutions shifted their MP Materials allocations in the first quarter. Royal Bank of Canada boosted its position by 26.5%, acquiring 49,052 additional shares to reach 234,185 shares, now valued at $5.72 million. Goldman Sachs increased its holdings by 36.0%, adding 51,348 shares for a total of 193,943 shares, worth $4.73 million. Meanwhile, AQR Capital Management and Integrated Wealth Concepts each initiated new stakes valued at $215,000 and $219,000 respectively. MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS added 479 shares, raising its total to 10,793 shares, now valued at $265,000. Institutional ownership accounts for just over 52% of the company’s outstanding shares.

3. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets Shift

Research houses have revised their outlooks for MP Materials in recent months. Daiwa Capital Markets initiated coverage with an outperform rating and set a $80.00 target. Morgan Stanley upgraded to overweight and lifted its price projection from $68.50 to $71.00. Bank of America raised its target from $78.00 to $112.00 and maintained a buy recommendation. BMO Capital Markets moved to outperform but lowered its target from $76.00 to $75.00. Wall Street Zen issued the sole sell rating, while the consensus across fourteen analysts stands at moderate buy with an average target of $78.91.

4. Production Growth and Strategic Partnerships

MP Materials reported third-quarter rare earth oxide output of 13,254 metric tons, with neodymium-praseodymium oxide production up 51% year-over-year to 721 metric tons. The company aims to reach 60,000 metric tons of annual production capacity. In July 2025, it secured a ten-year price-floor agreement with the Department of Defense guaranteeing $110 per kilogram for NdPr products, enhancing earnings visibility. Additionally, MP received a $40 million prepayment from a leading tech customer under a $500 million commitment for recycled magnet supplies, and expects downstream magnet sales to an automotive partner to begin in the second half of 2026.

Sources

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