NIO Projects ¥0.7–1.2B Q4 Profit, February Deliveries Up 57.6%

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Expectations for a March 10 report include a per-share loss of $0.05 versus $0.43 a year earlier and revenue of $4.61 billion, while NIO forecasts adjusted Q4 2025 operating profit of ¥0.7–1.2 billion. February deliveries rose 57.6% to 20,797 vehicles, lifting cumulative deliveries past 1.04 million.

1. Earnings Forecast and Profit Alert

NIO is set to report Q4 2025 results on March 10, projecting a per-share loss of $0.05 compared with a $0.43 loss a year ago and revenue of $4.61 billion. The company issued a profit alert forecasting adjusted operating profit of ¥0.7–1.2 billion versus a ¥5.54 billion loss in Q4 2024.

2. Delivery Momentum Continues

NIO delivered 20,797 vehicles in February, marking a 57.6% year-over-year increase and bringing cumulative deliveries past 1.04 million units. January deliveries reached 27,182 units, up 96.1% year-over-year, driven by strong ES8 SUV demand.

3. Infrastructure Expansion

The battery-swap network achieved a single-day record of 146,649 swaps during China’s Spring Festival, with over 3,750 stations facilitating more than 100 million cumulative swaps. Its subsidiary GeniTech secured ¥2.257 billion in funding to expand intelligent-driving chip development, with NIO retaining a 62.7% stake.

4. Technical Indicators and Analyst Outlook

Shares trade near $4.90, 1% above the 50-day simple moving average and 10.3% below the 100-day, with an RSI of 46.99 and a MACD indicating bearish pressure. Analyst consensus holds a Hold rating with a $7.62 average target following recent upgrades and downgrades.

Sources

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