Snowflake Q3 EPS Tops Estimates; Shares Rebound 62% from April Low

SNOWSNOW

Snowflake shares fell 6.93% last month and 18.5% over three months before jumping 62% from their April 4 low after reporting FY2025 Q3 revenue of $942.1 million and EPS of $0.20 versus $0.15 estimates. Analysts’ median one-year target of $284.35 implies 34.7% upside against a $71.1 billion market cap.

1. Explosive Revenue Growth and Improving Cash Flow

Snowflake has delivered unparalleled top-line expansion, growing revenue from $264.75 million in fiscal 2020 to $2.81 billion in fiscal 2024, representing a 961% increase over four years. This growth has been driven by broad adoption of its cloud data platform and pay-as-you-go model. During this period Snowflake’s free cash flow swung from negative $199.41 million in 2020 to positive $784.29 million in 2024, a 493% improvement, while total assets of $8.22 billion now exceed liabilities of $3.03 billion by a wide margin. The company has also beaten consensus EPS estimates in 15 of 16 quarters since Q1 2021, underlining operational leverage as revenue scales.

2. Strategic AI Partnership and High Customer Retention

In late 2025, Snowflake entered into a significant collaboration with NVIDIA to integrate NVIDIA’s AI Enterprise software into its platform. This alliance positions Snowflake to cross-sell AI data management tools to its existing customer base. Speaking of which, the company reports a net revenue retention rate of 127%, reflecting strong upsell and minimal churn among over 7,000 customers, including marquee names in pharma, retail, fitness and government. Snowflake’s ability to bundle data warehousing with AI workloads reinforces its competitive moat against rivals such as Google BigQuery and Amazon Redshift.

3. Robust Financial Forecasts Through 2030

Independent analysis projects Snowflake’s revenue to climb from approximately $4.42 billion in 2026 to over $10.51 billion by 2030, implying a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) above 24%. Over the same period, EPS is forecast to rise from just under $1.00 to more than $4.10, driven by expanding gross margins, operating leverage and steady investment in R&D. These projections assume continued adoption of hybrid-cloud deployments, AI-driven analytics and Snowflake’s flexible consumption pricing, suggesting substantial upside for long-term investors focused on secular growth in cloud infrastructure and data intelligence.

Sources

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