UK Consumer Spending Slumps Most Since 2021 and Shares Fall on 10% Rate Cap Call
Barclays' debit and credit card data showed UK consumer spending dropped in December at the fastest pace since 2021, underscoring household strain ahead of the holidays. Barclays shares fell after US President Trump proposed capping credit card interest rates at 10%, raising concerns over the bank's future interest income.
1. UK Consumers Slash December Spending as Barclays Data Shows Sharpest Decline Since 2021
Barclays reported that UK consumer spending on debit and credit cards dropped by 4.8% year-on-year in December, marking the steepest monthly contraction since January 2021. The bank’s analysis, based on transactions across its UK card portfolio, revealed particularly pronounced weakness in discretionary categories: retail spending fell by 6.1%, restaurants and hospitality by 5.4%, and travel outlays by 7.2%. Barclays economists noted the slowdown came despite promotional holiday offers, and suggested rising living costs and mortgage rate hikes drove households to tighten budgets in the run-up to Christmas. Investors may view this as a warning sign for Barclays’s transaction income and consumer lending divisions, as further spending weakness could weigh on fee generation and credit growth in coming quarters.
2. Barclays Shares Retreat After Trump’s Call for 10% Cap on Credit Card Rates
Shares of Barclays slipped 2.3% in early London trading on Monday following U.S. President Trump’s Friday statement urging regulators to cap credit card interest rates at 10%. The proposal, if adopted by U.S. authorities, could force Barclays’s U.S. credit card arm to reduce rates on a significant portion of its $25 billion domestic receivables book. Analysts estimate that capping rates at 10% could cut average yields by around 200 basis points, potentially reducing net interest income by up to £150 million annually. The share decline reflects investor concerns over pressure on Barclays’s global credit card profitability and potential regulatory spillover into other markets.