Micron Sees 130–150% DRAM Price Jump, Shares Slide Toward $400

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Wedbush projects Micron’s DRAM prices to surge 130–150% from Q4 2025 levels in H1 2026 as AI infrastructure demand outstrips tight supply. Despite strong earnings and above-market growth outlook, shares fell about 4% toward the $400 level, raising valuation and trading-signal questions.

1. Wedbush Projects Significant DRAM Price Gains

Wedbush forecasts DRAM pricing could climb 130–150% from Q4 2025 levels in the first half of 2026, with NAND prices rising nearly as much. The firm cites accelerating AI infrastructure deployments combined with constrained wafer supply as the primary catalysts for these steep increases.

2. Strong Earnings and Growth Outlook

Micron reported robust quarterly results and reiterated that demand for its memory products exceeds available capacity. Management also highlighted above-average revenue and margin growth projections, positioning the company for continued upside.

3. Stock Reaction and Technical Levels

Even after beating estimates, Micron’s stock dropped roughly 4% in morning trading and approached the key $400 support level. This pullback has spurred debate over whether the current valuation adequately reflects future pricing gains.

4. Implications for Investors

Sustained memory price increases could significantly boost Micron’s profit margins and cash flow, benefiting related HDD and AI ecosystem vendors. Investors should monitor post-earnings trading signals and the timing of the next memory industry cycle shift.

Sources

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