Micron Poised for Tripling Earnings with HBM Market to Reach $100B by 2028

MUMU

Micron Technology is poised to capitalize on AI-driven memory demand, with hyperscalers expected to spend over $500 billion on AI infrastructure by 2026 and the HBM market projected to reach $100 billion by 2028. Its forward P/E of 13 and analysts’ forecasts of earnings tripling support potential stock upside.

1. Underappreciated Growth Driver in High-Bandwidth Memory

Micron Technology stands out as a key beneficiary of the AI revolution, with high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips solving critical bottlenecks in data-intensive workloads. Industry forecasts project the HBM market to expand to $100 billion by 2028, driven by hyperscale cloud providers and large enterprises deploying next-generation AI models. Micron’s share of this segment has grown consistently, thanks to its advanced two-stack and four-stack HBM products, which deliver up to 50% greater bandwidth versus legacy designs. Analysts now estimate that HBM revenue could account for over 25% of Micron’s total sales by 2026, up from single-digit percentages just two years ago.

2. Hyperscaler Spending and Earnings Trajectory

Major cloud operators are expected to boost AI infrastructure spending to more than $500 billion in 2026, allocating a growing portion to memory and storage solutions. This surge underpins projections that Micron’s earnings will more than triple by the end of 2026, reflecting both volume growth and improving product mix. The company’s latest guidance anticipates double-digit year-over-year revenue increases in fiscal 2026, with gross margins expanding by 300 basis points as its premium HBM and low-latency DRAM products gain traction in data center and high-performance computing applications.

3. Attractive Valuation and Near-Term Catalysts

Despite robust fundamentals, Micron trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 13, below the memory industry average and trailing that of leading GPU and AI accelerator makers. Investors are pointing to an upcoming supply dynamics shift as a key catalyst: tight constraints on wafer fabrication capacity are expected to support pricing power through 2027. Additionally, Micron’s recent partnership with Apple—supplying advanced memory modules for the new iPhone generation—underscores its strategic position in the mobile market and further diversifies its revenue base beyond data centers.

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